Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milošević
The setup
Priscila Cachoeira (5-9 in the UFC) faces Nina Milošević (1-0 in the UFC) in a three-round women's bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night 293 on November 7, 2026. Cachoeira has lost three straight, most recently to Chelsea Chandler. Milosevic is 1-0 over the last one and beat Hailey Cowan last time out. Milosevic is the younger fighter by 8 years. Cachoeira is 2 inches taller. Milosevic has a 2-inch reach advantage.
On the feet
Cachoeira lands 4.35 significant strikes per minute at 44% accuracy and absorbs 7.45. Milosevic lands 5.70 at 54% and absorbs 3.53. That gives Milosevic the better striking differential, +2.17 per minute to Cachoeira's -3.11. Milosevic is the harder target, avoiding 73% of strikes to Cachoeira's 46%. Cachoeira has 4 knockout wins in 14 UFC fights.
On the mat
Neither leans on wrestling (0.37 and 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes), so this should mostly be fought standing.
How it ends
The likeliest way for either fighter to win is by decision: 14% for Cachoeira, 34% for Milosevic. The model gives it a 52% chance of ending early. If it does, round 1 is the most likely (53% of finishes), and 85% come in the first two rounds.
The pick
The model takes Milosevic at 75%, one of the model's stronger calls. Picks in the 70-100% range have been right 79% of the time on 112 UFC fights since 2024. What's pushing it toward Milosevic: absorbing fewer strikes, the age gap and recent form. Cachoeira's case rests on striking output and UFC experience.
Model picked Nina Milošević by Decision Model was right
Track record: 64% correct on 1,514 UFC fights since 2024 that the model never trained on, and 71% when it gives a fighter 60% or better.