Seokhyeon Ko vs Wellington Turman
The setup
Seokhyeon Ko (2-1 in the UFC) faces Wellington Turman (3-6 in the UFC) in a three-round welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night 293 on November 7, 2026. Ko is 2-1 over the last three and lost to Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani last time out. Turman has lost three straight, most recently to Jared Gooden. It's Turman's first fight in 35 months. Turman is 2 inches taller. It's a southpaw vs orthodox matchup.
On the feet
Ko lands 3.00 significant strikes per minute at 50% accuracy and absorbs 1.47. Turman lands 3.23 at 51% and absorbs 4.17. That gives Ko the better striking differential, +1.53 per minute to Turman's -0.94. Ko is the harder target, avoiding 65% of strikes to Turman's 45%. By our numbers Ko is light on striking and Turman a balanced striker.
On the mat
Ko brings more of the wrestling, averaging 3.33 takedowns per 15 minutes at 59% accuracy, and Turman stops 43% of takedown attempts. Turman gets taken down often, which plays into Ko's hands. Turman carries the bigger submission threat: 0.78 attempts per 15 minutes and 1 submission win in the UFC. Ko spends 56% of fight time in control, to 29% for Turman.
How it ends
The likeliest way for either fighter to win is by decision: 39% for Ko, 18% for Turman. The model gives it a 43% chance of ending early. If it does, round 1 is the most likely (53% of finishes), and 85% come in the first two rounds. More often than not, this one goes to the judges.
The pick
The model takes Ko at 67%, a confident pick. Picks in the 65-70% range have been right 77% of the time on 211 UFC fights since 2024. What's pushing it toward Ko: absorbing fewer strikes, recent form and time between fights. Turman's case rests on the age gap and UFC experience.
Model picked Seokhyeon Ko by Decision Model was right
Track record: 64% correct on 1,514 UFC fights since 2024 that the model never trained on, and 71% when it gives a fighter 60% or better.